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Local Forecast Communication in the altiplano

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Dated: July 2019

Authors: Corinne Valdivia , Jere L. Gilles

A paper, produced by the American Meteorological Society, which discusses the case of two communities of Andean farmers that reject weather forecasts broadcasted by the national weather service in favour of local experts using traditional forecasting methods.

Excerpt:

Agricultural production systems are extremely sensitive to climate variability. This is especially true for small farmer production systems in developing countries where there are few resources to cushion the impacts of climatic shocks. Seasonal and monthly forecasts hold the promise of reducing the impacts of these shocks by allowing farmers to take actions that will either minimize the impacts of adverse weather conditions or take advantage of good growing conditions. To do this requires that small farmers receive forecasts in the form and time needed to help them make decisions. In the last 10 years, there has been a growing realization that farmers have not used forecasts to the degree that the forecast community had hoped. As a result, considerable effort has been devoted to understanding why this has not taken place. This paper describes the networks used to transmit forecast information in the Altiplano of Bolivia and Peru with special reference to three indigenous communities. The implications of these findings for improved forecast utilization are then discussed.



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https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2008BAMS2183.1

https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2008BAMS2183.1

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